The battle lines are drawn for 2024. And Trump is going all out to knock down Biden.
And now Biden was handed a massive defeat that left Trump grinning ear to ear.
In a hypothetical head-to-head 2024 general election match-up, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in a handful of swing states that significantly influenced the last two presidential elections, according to a comprehensive Morning Consult-Bloomberg News poll.
In the poll issued Thursday, Trump leads with registered voters in five of the seven swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
In Michigan, Biden and Trump are even, and Biden leads in Nevada.
Except for North Carolina, Biden won all of these states in 2020, while Trump carried all of them, save Nevada, in the 2016 presidential election against twice-failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.
Bloomberg Senior National Political Correspondent Nancy Cook and the outlet’s White House and Politics Correspondent Gregory Korte warn that people are rejecting the pitch as the Biden campaign works hard to market “Bidenmonics” to independents and swing voters.
📊 Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll: Trump Leads Biden in Five of Seven Swing States.
Trump 48% (+5)
Trump 47% (+4)
Trump 46% (+2)
Trump 46% (+1)
Trump 47% (+4)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 19, 2023
In Arizona, the 45th has a four-point edge over Biden, with 47 percent and 43 percent, respectively, among 804 registered voters.
Another 4% of those in the Grand Canyon State will abstain from voting, while 6% are undecided.
In Georgia, Biden is behind Trump by five points. 48 percent of Georgia voters support Trump, while 43 percent support Biden.
Six percent of poll respondents are unsure, and three percent will not vote if their only choices are Biden or Trump. There are 801 Georgians in this sample.
Trump receives 47 percent of the vote among 702 registered voters in North Carolina, compared to Biden’s 43 percent.
Another 3% say they will not vote, and 7% are undecided about who they will support in a rematch in 2020.
Trump leads Biden by a smaller margin in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In Biden’s native state of Pennsylvania, 46% of the 802 registered voters said they will vote for Trump.
In comparison, 45 percent will vote for Biden, with another six percent undecided between the two candidates. If this is the match-up, three percent of those polled in the Quaker State will not vote.
Similarly, Trump receives 46 percent of the vote among 700 registered voters in Wisconsin, while Biden receives 44 percent.
If Trump and Biden are the only two names on the ballot, the remaining ten percent of voters are either unsure or unmotivated to vote.
In Nevada, however, Biden has a three-point lead over Trump, with 46 percent and 43 percent, respectively. In the hypothetical match-up, another 6% are undecided, and 5% will not vote at all. Nevada has the smallest sample size of any state, at 503 people.
In Michigan, the candidates are tied at 44 percent each. The Wolverine State has the greatest percentage of undecided voters in the poll, with 8%. Four percent will abstain from voting. The Bloomberg-Morning Consult poll surveyed 706 Michigan residents.
According to Bloomberg, Trump has a 47 percent to 43 percent polling advantage in the seven states.
“The margin of error is plus or minus 1 percentage point across the seven states; 3 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania; and 4 percentage points in Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin,” noted Cook and Korte.
All samples were acquired via online surveys between October 5 and October 10.
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