Biden’s mental and physical ability to serve as president has been center stage from the get-go. Now it’s all coming to a head.
And now Joe Biden was hit with a devastating test result that could end his campaign.
The President has seen better days.
His constant gaffes and tripping up stairs and on stages has been an embarrassment for America.
But it could finally be ending very soon.
One year before the 2024 election, President Biden is trailing Donald J. Trump in five of the six most important battleground states, owing to enormous doubts about his age and deep dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy and a slew of other issues, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College.
Mr. Biden behind Mr. Trump, his most likely Republican opponent, by three to ten percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. According to the survey, Mr. Biden is only two percentage points ahead in Wisconsin.
The president trails by an average of 48 to 44 percent in the six competitive states, all of which Mr. Biden carried in 2020.
The Times/Siena poll found that a majority of people believe Mr. Biden’s policies have personally harmed them.
The survey also illustrates the extent to which Mr. Biden’s multicultural and multigenerational alliance is fracturing.
Demographic groups that overwhelmingly supported Mr. Biden in 2020 are now significantly more closely fought, as two-thirds of the electorate believes the country is heading in the wrong direction.
Voters under 30 favor Mr. Biden by one percentage point, his lead among Hispanic voters is in the single digits, and his advantage in urban areas is half that of Mr. Trump’s advantage in rural areas.
While women continued to favor Mr. Biden, men chose Mr. Trump by a two-to-one ratio, reversing the gender edge that had driven so many Democratic advances in recent years.
Black voters, who have historically been a bastion for Democrats and Mr. Biden, are now recording 22 percent support for Mr. Trump in these states, a level unprecedented in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times.
Add it all together, and Mr. Trump leads by 10 points in Nevada, six points in Georgia, five points in Arizona, five points in Michigan, and four points in Pennsylvania. In Wisconsin, Mr. Biden had a two-point lead.
In a startling reflection of the two parties’ growing racial realignment, the more diverse the swing state, the further Mr. Biden fell behind, and he led only in the whitest of the six.
According to the study, both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are severely — and comparably — unpopular. However, those who strongly believe the country is on the wrong course are venting their rage on the president.
“The world is falling apart under Biden,” said Spencer Weiss, a 53-year-old electrical substation specialist in Bloomsburg, Pa., who supported Mr. Biden in 2020 but now supports Mr. Trump with doubts.
“I would much rather see somebody that I feel can be a positive role-model leader for the country. But at least I think Trump has his wits about him.”
Mr. Biden has another year to turn things around.
Mr. Biden’s well-funded campaign will also attempt to shore up his demographic weaknesses. Despite Mr. Biden’s low approval ratings at the time, the president’s advisers have consistently stated that Democrats were successful in limiting the party’s losses in 2022.
Nonetheless, the survey demonstrates how Mr. Biden begins the next year with a deficit, despite the fact that Mr. Trump has been accused on criminal charges four times and faces trial in 2024.
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