Harris might be thinking about a comeback. But are Democrats ready for that?
And now Kamala Harris is speechless after seeing these test results.
In the race for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, Kamala Harris is sitting pretty at the top of the early polls, pulling ahead of her fellow left-wing hopefuls. According to data from Race to the White House, the former Vice President boasts a commanding 27.5 percent national polling average, leaving others scrambling to catch up.
California Governor Gavin Newsom trails not far behind, clocking in at 22.7 percent. He’s been making waves with his progressive policies out West, but it seems like voters aren’t fully sold yet on his national appeal.
Then there’s New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who’s grabbing nine percent in the averages. The self-proclaimed socialist firebrand continues to energize the far-left base, but her numbers show she’s got a long way to go if she wants to climb higher.
Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary, isn’t far off with 8.7 percent.
Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro rounds out the pack with 4.9 percent, while Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker lags at 3.4 percent.
This polling surge comes amid buzz that Harris, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez are the ones most likely to throw their hats in the ring for 2028, as noted by Newsweek.
But hold on—while the polls paint one picture, the betting markets tell a different story. Newsweek reports that “While Harris is leading early polling of the primary, Kalshi’s betting odds market favors Newsom, giving him a 32 percent chance of victory. Ocasio-Cortez follows at 9 percent. Harris, Ossoff and Shapiro all have a 7 percent chance of becoming the party’s nominee.”
That betting edge for Newsom suggests savvy gamblers see him as the real frontrunner, perhaps betting on his California charisma to outshine Harris’s baggage from her time in the Biden administration.
Ocasio-Cortez’s nine percent in the odds mirrors her polling, showing she’s got a dedicated following but might struggle against more establishment types.
Harris, tied with others at just seven percent in the betting world, indicates that despite her poll lead, there’s doubt about her ability to seal the deal—maybe memories of her 2020 campaign flameout are still fresh.
A fresh poll from Focaldata, taken on February 10 with 1,148 respondents, backs up Harris’s edge. She pulled in 39 percent support, dwarfing Newsom’s 21 percent.
Ocasio-Cortez snagged ten percent in that survey, while Buttigieg and Shapiro each got seven percent.
These figures paint a Democratic Party in flux, where familiar faces from the Biden era are duking it out with rising stars, but none seem to inspire overwhelming confidence.
As the 2028 cycle heats up, expect more twists—after all, if betting markets are any guide, Newsom could surge ahead, leaving Harris in the dust and forcing the party to confront its internal divides.
