Kamala Harris is ringing alarm bells. She’s losing support left and right.
And Harris’s election chances have gone down the drain after key voter group betrays her.
A recent poll suggests that former President Donald Trump is gaining significant support among Hispanic voters, potentially shaping the outcome of the upcoming November election. This shift in support, especially in a demographic that has traditionally leaned toward Democrats, highlights a complex political landscape.
Meanwhile, Vice President Kamala Harris appears to be losing traction with this critical voting bloc. According to a New York Times/Siena College poll, Trump’s appeal among Hispanic voters—both those born in the U.S. and abroad—remains strong, despite his hardline stance on immigration.
Interestingly, many Hispanic voters, including 51% of those born outside the U.S., feel that Trump’s immigration rhetoric doesn’t target them personally, while 67% of U.S.-born Hispanic voters share this sentiment.
This suggests that despite the often-controversial tone of his immigration policies, many in the Hispanic community don’t feel directly implicated by his tough-on-illegal immigration message.
Still, there is a notable percentage—40% of foreign-born Hispanics and 30% of Hispanic voters overall—who believe that Trump’s strong words on immigration are aimed at them. The poll reveals a complex mix of views on this issue, which has been central to Trump’s political identity.
The poll also showed a 19-point lead for Harris over Trump among likely Hispanic voters (56% to 37%). However, this lead marks a significant decline from past Democratic support in this demographic. Gender differences are particularly pronounced: Harris holds a commanding lead among Hispanic women, with 62% support compared to Trump’s 31%, but the margin is much slimmer among Hispanic men, where she leads 48% to 45%.
Gender divides in voting preferences have emerged as a recurring theme in the 2024 election, not just among Hispanics but other minority groups as well.
Former President Barack Obama recently pointed to a lack of enthusiasm among Black men toward Harris, commenting, “We have not yet seen the same kinds of energy and turnout in all quarters of our neighborhoods and communities as we saw when I was running. Now, I also want to say that seems to be more pronounced with the brothers.”
Barack Obama SOUNDS THE ALARM, says energy is down with black men:
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 11, 2024
“That seems to be more pronounced with the brothers…”
He then says black men should vote for Kamala because she knows the “struggles” of being black.
Pure identity politics from Obama. pic.twitter.com/LvlSUVZKBx
The current erosion of Democratic support among Hispanics is notable, especially when compared to previous elections. In 2016, Democrats enjoyed a 40-point lead over Republicans with Hispanic voters. By 2020, that lead had shrunk to 26 points, and now, polls suggest a continued trend of diminishing support for the party.
Trump’s rhetoric on immigration, particularly his comments about immigrants “poisoning the blood of our country,” has sparked controversy. The poll showed that 55% of Hispanics found his words offensive, while 40% argued that his critics take his comments “too seriously.”
On policy issues, opinions among Hispanic voters are divided. A notable 43% of likely Hispanic voters support or somewhat support Trump’s proposal to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, while 54% are opposed. Meanwhile, 67% back Harris’ push for a pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants, a policy Trump has criticized as amnesty.
He has instead vowed to deport those who have entered the country illegally, warning voters at a recent rally that Harris’ policies would transform towns across America into “third-world hellholes.”
Opinions on deportation also reflect a near even split: 45% of Hispanic voters support deportation, while 48% oppose it.
The New York Times/Siena College poll surveyed 902 Hispanic voters between September 29 and October 6, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
These findings mirror trends in other polls, including an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll last month that found Trump narrowly leading Harris, 51% to 47%, among Latino voters.
This voter group is not one Kamala Harris can afford to lose. But it’s clear that her policies on the issue of illegal immigration could very well hurt her standing among Hispanics.
Stay tuned to The Federalist Wire.
